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Research/Flagship Reports
Published March 202671 pagesFrancesco · Noveleader

The Evolution of Commodities

State of Commodities and a Quantitative Analysis of the Growth of these Markets Onchain

Data snapshot: March 2026. Figures are preserved from the published report and are not live market data.

If onchain commodity trading follows the Globex pattern, we are in approximately 1995.

The numbers that matter

$7.4B
Tokenised spot commodities, 4x in one year
$1.4B+
Commodity perp OI on Hyperliquid
$143T
Annual notional moved by global commodity markets
$45B+
Ostium cumulative volume, >95% non-crypto OI
+227%
Tokenised gold volume YoY ($178B in 2025)
30x
Weekend oil-perp volume growth in three weeks

Executive Summary

Tokenised spot commodities grew from $1.9 billion to more than $7 billion in one year, while commodity perpetual open interest on Hyperliquid passed $1.4 billion. The report compares the CME crude-oil contract with Hyperliquid's xyz:CL market to measure how 24/7 onchain venues handle price discovery, liquidity and execution outside traditional market hours.

Key findings

  1. 01Tokenised spot commodities reached $7.4 billion, with tokenised gold responsible for most of the category.
  2. 02Commodity perpetual open interest on Hyperliquid exceeded $1.4 billion as HIP-3 expanded access to metals, energy and equity indices.
  3. 03CME revealed liquidity was 109 times deeper within 5 basis points, while xyz:CL weekend volume rose from $31 million to more than $1 billion across the three-week study.

Covered in the report

HyperliquidTrade XYZOstiumCME GroupTether GoldPaxos GoldAsterBinanceJPMorgan Kinexys

Inside

  1. 01The Trillion Dollar Friction Machine
  2. 02State of Onchain Commodities
  3. 03Onchain Trading Pits: Hyperliquid & Ostium
  4. 04The CME: Status Quo Under Stress
  5. 05Comparative Analysis: xyz:CL vs CLJ6
  6. 06Quantitative Analysis: Overlapping Hours & Weekends

Method and Data Boundary

Castle mapped tokenised spot and perpetual markets, then compared CME CLJ6 trades from Databento with Hyperliquid xyz:CL fills from 27 February to 16 March 2026. Depth and slippage use executed fills rather than resting order-book quotes.

Published
March 2026
Data snapshot
March 2026